Tyumen State University Herald. Physical and Mathematical Modeling. Oil, Gas, Energy


Release:

Releases Archive. Вестник ТюмГУ. Физико-математические науки. Информатика (№4, 2012)

Title: 
Expert information for operational risk estimation


About the author:

Ekaterina I. Karaseva, postgraduate student, Department of business informatics, St. Petersburg state university of space instrumentation

Abstract:

The method of events probability estimation under incomplete, inaccurate and non-numeric expert information is offered. We consider the problem of synthesis of the probabilities of events, tasks of events probabilities analysis and loss analysis.

Keywords:

  • Operational risk
  • expert information
  • inaccurate
  • incomplete and nonnumeric information
  • logical and probabilistic models
  • synthesis of the probabilities of events
  • probabilities analysis and loss analysis

References: