Tyumen State University Herald. Physical and Mathematical Modeling. Oil, Gas, Energy


Releases Archive. Вестник ТюмГУ. Физико-математические науки. Информатика (№4, 2012)

Expert information for operational risk estimation

About the author:

Ekaterina I. Karaseva, postgraduate student, Department of business informatics, St. Petersburg state university of space instrumentation


The method of events probability estimation under incomplete, inaccurate and non-numeric expert information is offered. We consider the problem of synthesis of the probabilities of events, tasks of events probabilities analysis and loss analysis.