Release:
2026. Vol. 12.. № 1 (45)About the authors:
Alexander D. Ilyin, engineer, LUKOIL Engineering LLC, Tyumen, Russia; ilinshurik@mail.ru, https://orcid.org/0009-0001-7837-8308Abstract:
The article examines the current state and prospects of the Russian electric vehicle market. It is established that, despite high growth rates, it is characterized by a low share and lags behind global leaders. The work carried out SWOT-analysis, identified key problems and proposed strategic solutions. The authors describe in detail five main diverse barriers to the development of this market. The article systematizes the understanding of the specifics and barriers in the context of the Russian economy with its unique limitations: from a harsh climate to sanctions pressure. The authors combined technological, economic, infrastructure, social and political aspects into a single analytical framework. Based on the research, a model is proposed that illustrates the mechanisms of interaction of all market participants. This model allows to form priority areas to ensure sustainable growth of the electric vehicle market in Russia. The study is of interest to government agencies, investors, distributors and analysts, especially in the context of the national targets for the electrification of transport by 2030.Keywords:
References:
Baraboshkina, A. V., & Kudryavtseva, O. V. (2023). Assessing the competitiveness of the Russian electric vehicle as a justification for the need to stimulate the electric vehicle market in Russia. Russian Journal of Economics, 2, 269–288. https://doi.org/10.21202/2782–2923.2023.2.269–288. [In Russian].
Iosifov, V. V., & Ratner, S. V. (2016). Analysis of barriers and prospects for the development of innovative technologies in automobile transport. Innovations, 4(210). Retrieved February 07, 2026 from https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/analiz-barierov-i-perspektiv-razvitiya-innovatsionnyh-tehnologiy-a.... [In Russian].
Netreba, P. N., & Orekhin, P. V. (eds). (2022). Why Russia needs cars: Development drivers and implementation prospects. Retrieved September 15, 2025 from https://www.hse.ru/mirror/pubs/share/804556669.pdf. [In Russian].
Rostovsky, J.-K. (2022). Electric vehicles and renewable energy sources. Symbiosis without which the energy transition is impossible. Russian policy in the field of electric vehicles and new mobility. Renewable energy sources and priorities of scientific and technological development of the Russian energy sector: collection of reports of the School of Young Scientists. Moscow: ERI RAS, 180–184. [In Russian].
Semikashev, V. V., Kolpakov, Yu. A., Yakovlev, A. A., & Rostovsky, J.-A. (2022). Development of the electric vehicle market in Russia as a necessary condition for obtaining benefits from the global trend towards transport electrification. Problems of Forecasting, 3(192), 52–63. https://doi.org/10.47711/0868-6351-192-52-63. [In Russian].
Sukhareva, S. V. (2024). Development of the electric vehicle market in modern conditions. Construction Equipment and Technologies, 4, 106–109. [In Russian].
Tarasova, O. V. (ed.). (2020). Infrastructure of spatial development of the Russian Federation: Transport, energy, innovation system, life support. Novosibirsk: IEOP SB RAS. [In Russian].
Shirov, A. A. (ed.). (2022). Potential growth opportunities for the Russian economy: Analysis and forecast: scientific report. IEF RAS. Moscow: Artik Print. https://doi.org/10.47711/sr2-2022. [In Russian].
Aisenberg, I., Alexander, A., Haile Bekele, A., Carpio Ponce, Hammah, N., Hommes, M., Mills, A., Mölders, F., Ong, S., Rehermann, T., Saal, M., Saleem, Q., Sepulveda, E., Shi, I., Solomon, B., et al. (2018). How technology creates markets. Trends and examples for private investors in emerging markets. World Bank Group. Retrieved September 15, 2025 from https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/610741532541411364
González-Salas, A., Pascual, P. M., Alonso, O. A. et al. (2021). Transport electrification: Regulatory guidelines for the development of charging infrastructure. IDB. Retrieved September 15, 2025 from https://publications.iadb.org/en/transport-electrification-regulatory-guidelines-development-chargin...
Hagman, J., & Langbroek, J. H. M. (2019). Conditions for electric vehicle taxi: A case study in the Greater Stockholm region. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, 13(6), 450–459. https://doi.org/10.1080/15568318.2018.1481547
IEA. (2021). The role of critical minerals in clean energy transitions. Retrieved September 15, 2025 from https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ffd2a83b-8c30-4e9d-980a-52b6d9a86fdc/TheRoleofCriticalMiner...
Reka, S., Venugopal, P., Ravi, V. et al. (2022). Analysis of electric vehicles with an economic perspective for the future electric market. Future Internet, 14(6), 172. https://doi.org/10.3390/fi14060172
Strategy Partners. (2024). Analysis of the Russian electric vehicle market. Part 2 / Raspopov, D., Nechaeva, V., Shaposhnikov, V., Tolstopiatov, D. Retrieved September 15, 2025 from https://strategy.ru/media/uploads/2024/04/Анализ_российского_рынка_электромобилей.pdf. [In Russian].
Wentker, M., Greenwood, M., & Leker, J. A. (2019). Bottom-Up Approach to Lithium-Ion battery cost modeling with a focus on cathode active materials. Energies, 12, 504. Retrieved September 15, 2025 from https://doi.org/10.3390/en12030504
