Release:
2022, Vol. 8. № 2 (30)About the authors:
Elena V. Andrianova, Cand. Sci. (Soc.), Associate Professor, Senior Researcher, West Siberian Branch of the Federal Research Sociological Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Tyumen, Russia; e.v.andrianova@utmn.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7769-9206Abstract:
The article is devoted to the study of modern challenges of global instability and socioeconomic reality in the context of the determinants of the situation, taken from the point of view of the security of rural areas of various countries of the world. The influence of such determinants as the COVID-19 pandemic and the conflict in Ukraine is considered. The COVID-19 pandemic has dealt a severe strike to the entire global economy due to the need for strict restrictive measures (quarantine, self-isolation, lockdown), which, as expected, is heading for the deepest recession in 2022-2023. The crisis caused by the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, followed by total sanctions against Russia, should, it seems, lead to quite strong detrimental consequences both in the food and agricultural sectors of these and other countries of the world. The relevance of the topic is connected with the fact that the traditional problems of risk and uncertainty have now received a special, existential sound all over the world. The purpose of the article is to try to understand and explain the comprehensive outcomes and trends that are caused by various risks of the new global reality for national security, including food security, based on statistical data and author’s forecast estimates. The tasks that are set and solved in the article: description of global risks of a very different nature — sanctions, trade, price, financial, energy, logistics, production, agricultural, food, humanitarian. The article is presented in the traditions of economic and sociological theories of the study of risks, trust and uncertainties, from the point of view of scientific approaches of structural functionalism, pragmatism and existentialism. The authors rely on statistics from the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) (Food and Agriculture Organization, FAO). The presented risk analysis contributes to understanding the problem of food security risks in the context of a new global reality.References: