Determinants of Protest Moods

About the author:

Abstract:

Nowadays, one of the important issues of the social protest theory is the question if protest moods are a protest activity precondition or they are just an expression of discontent with the existing way of things. Thus, this article discusses the factors, which contribute to protest moods in the society through two of their intrinsic parts. They include protest expectations (as a responder’s assessment of massive popular movements) and a person’s declared willingness to participate in such acts.

According to the regional findings in 2006-2017 in the Tyumen Region (as a part of the project “The Social and Cultural Portraits of Russian Regions”), the author describes the social portrait of an individual with a protest mood. In addition, this paper lists the significant factors and conditions that shape protest expectations and the determination to participate in a protest action. The employed methods include index and correlation methods of analysis.

The author concludes, that protest expectations are the result of a respondent’s assessment of social and economic situation in his/her own city/village/region, the expression of dissatisfaction with the prevailing conditions of life and standards of living, or negative life changes.

References:

1. Lapin N. I. 2016. Atlas modernizatsii Rossii i ee regionov: sotsioekonomicheskie i sotsiokul'turnye tendentsii i problem [Atlas of Modernization of Russia and Its Regions: Socio-Economic and Socio-Cultural Trends and Issues]. Moscow: Ves' mir.
2. Afanasyev D. V., Guzhavina T. A. 2013. “Predposylki transformatsii ustanovok politicheskogo nedovol'stva v protestnoe povedenie naseleniya (na materialakh ISERT RAN g. Vologdy)” [Preconditions for the Transformation of Population’s Attitudes from Political Discontent to Protest Behavior (As Exemplified in the Materials of ISEDT RAS, Vologda)]. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz [Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast], no 6, pp. 142-152.
3. Gurr T. R. 2005. Pochemu lyudi buntuyut [Why Men Rebel]. St. Petersburg: Piter
4. Dementyeva I. N. 2013. “Teoretiko-metodologicheskie podkhody k izucheniyu sotsial'nogo protesta v zarubezhnoy i otechestvennoy nauke” [Theoretical and Methodological Approaches to Social Protest Study in Foreign and Domestic Science]. Monitoring obshchestvennogo mneniya: ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny [Monitoring of Social Opinions: Economic and Social Changes], no 4 (116), pp. 6.
5. VCIOM. “Protestnyy potentsial” [Protest Potential]. https://wciom.ru/news/ratings/protestnyj_potencial/
6. Kinsburskiy A. V., Topalov M. N. 2016. “Sotsial'naya napryazhennost' i massovye aktsii protesta (k voprosu o mekhanizme deystviya)” [Social Tension and Mass Protest Campaigns (on The Issue of The Action Mechanism)]. Sotsiologicheskaya nauka i sotsial'naya praktika [Social Science and Social Practice], no 1, pp. 20-34
7. Lapin N. I., Belyaeva L. A. 2010. Programma i tipovoy instrumentariy “Sotsiokul'turnyy portret regiona Rossii” (Modifikatsiya 2010) [Program and the Typical Tools of “Socio-Cultural Portrait of the Region” (Modification of 2010)]. Moscow: IF RAN.
8. Mamonov M. V. 2010. “Vozmozhnosti primeneniya deprivatsionnogo podkhoda pri izuchenii protestnykh nastroeniy” [Application of Deprivation Approach to the Study of Protest Moods]. Monitoring obshchestvennogo mneniya: ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny [Monitoring of Social Opinions: Economic and Social Changes], no 6 (100), pp. 49-54.
9. Mokin K. S., Baryshnaya N. A. 2011. “Deprivatsionnyy analiz sotsial'noy napryazhennosti: vozmozhnosti indikatirovaniya” [Deprivation Analysis of Social Tensions: The Possibilities of Indication ]. Vestnik Povolzhskoy akademii gosudarstvennoy sluzhby, no 1. pp. 51-60.
10. Mtiulishvili P. I. 2010. “Indeks sotsial'nykh nastroeniy i pokazateli protestnogo potentsiala naseleniya” [Social Mood Index and Public Protest Potential Indicators]. Monitoring obshchestvennogo mneniya [Monitoring of Social Opinions], no 8, pp. 62.
11. Romashkina G. F., Pecherkina I. F. 2016. “Kharakteristiki svyaznosti regional'nogo sotsial'nogo prostranstva” [Connectivity Characteristics of the Regional Social Space]. Tyumen State University Herald. Social, Economic, and Law Research, vol. 2, no 3, pp. 39-54. DOI: 10.21684/2411-7897-2016-2-3-39-54
12. Romashkina G. F., Davydenko V. A. (eds.). 2015. Sotsiokul'turnaya dinamika — portret Tyumenskoy oblasti: kollektivnaya monografiya [Sociocultural Dynamics — A Portrait of the Tyumen Region: Collective Monograph]. Tyumen: Tyumen State University Publishing House.